Rasmussen puts McCain within 7 of Obama in California, within 5 of Hillary.

I’m really, really skeptical that California will be competitive this year. Bush lost by 10 points in 2004, lost it by 12 points in 2000.

But note that if McCain were to somehow pull of an enormously upset win in California, it would not only all but guarantee his victory, it would ensure a landslide. Those 54 electoral votes are pretty much irreplaceable for the Democrats.