CNN puts McCain at 615 delegates. But on their state-by-state breakdown, they have given McCain 56 so far, and Romney 3.

Mitt Romney is going to win at least two congressional districts, maybe as many as four. So he’s getting 6 to 12 delegates out of this.

McCain is going to win 49 to 51 out of 53 congressional districts, and gets 11 delegates for winning statewide.

49 x 3 = 147, + 11 = 158 delegates.

51 x 3 = 153, + 11 = 164 delegates.

If, without California, CNN’s count is accurate and McCain has 559 delegates, then he has between 717 and 723 delegates at this point, about 60 percent of what he needs.

Last night I said it looked like a 300 delegate lead for McCain; it probably is 400 or more right now.

UPDATE: McCain’s camp thinks its lead is even larger: ”To date, we have 775 delegates, Romney has 284, Huckabee has 205.”