I’ve heard from someone who’s comparing the exit poll data and the final polls and the actual results. The word is (surprise!) McCain is overperforming both. They conclude that while they can’t call the states in any significant margin, they give McCain a serious shot of holding on to Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. (There is an ominous comment about Indiana perhaps being vulnerable to last-minute Gary shenanigans.) They also note that as of 9 p.m., McCain actually leads the popular vote. Now, a lot of the country has to be thrown into the pile, but that doesn’t quite scream landslide, at least not yet.
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Jim Geraghty is the senior political correspondent of National Review.
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