I still like Blunt’s chances:

When Public Policy Polling first looked at the open Senate seat in Missouri in January Robin Carnahan led Roy Blunt 45-44. Fast forward ten months and the race has hardly changed at all, with Carnahan now up 43-42.

Blunt has a 44-32 lead among independent voters.

PPP finds that 58 percent of Missouri voters have a negative opinion of Democrats in Congress.

Last year, President Obama came very close to winning Missouri; today, PPP finds his approval rating at 43 percent, his disapproval rating at 52 percent. They find 34 percent like his health-care plan, 55 percent oppose it.