Quinnipiac has released its final poll before the Florida primary:

Sen. John McCain and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney are running neck and neck among Florida likely Republican voters, with 32 percent for McCain and 31 percent for Romney, as former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani gets 14 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee gets 13 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Among likely Democratic presidential primary voters, New York Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Illinois Sen. Barack Obama 50 – 30 percent, with 12 percent for former North Carolina Sen. John Edwards. This compares to a four-way Republican primary horse race in a January 14 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University with McCain at 22 percent, Giuliani at 20 percent, and Romney and Huckabee at 19 percent each. In that January 14 survey, Sen. Clinton topped Obama 52 – 31 percent. “Sen. McCain and Gov. Romney are tight as a tick, although McCain’s supporters appear slightly more committed. With 24 hours to go, the race is up in the air. Whichever candidate finishes strongest will win Florida and all 57 of its reduced delegate count,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

Same dynamic we’ve seen in the other states — voters gravitate to candidates one and two in the final days, and three and four slip considerably behind…

It’s not surprising that Hillary’s way ahead in a state where she’s insisting the delegates should count — even though the DNC ruled a long while back that they wouldn’t…

UPDATE: I’ll give Hillary a bit (and I mean a bit) of credit, though. There was some thought that she would throw a lot of resources into Florida, and try to run up the score in a (second) state where Obama and Edwards have pledged not to campaign. According to her schedule, she’s not due to arrive in Florida until Tuesday night, presumably after a lot of the voting has occurred.