I’m not expecting Obama to do anything but gangbusters in the African-American vote. For my calculations of early votes in North Carolina and Georgia, I split the African-American vote 96-4 in Obama’s favor.

But a reader notices four different Survey USA polls that they have Obama drawing a lot less — less than John Kerry and Al Gore, in fact.

In Virginia, they split 88-10.

In Pennsylvania, they split 80-16.

In Kentucky, they split 83-16 (they make up only 6 percent of the sample, so that helps explain that).

In California, they split 81-16, but African-Americans make up only 7 percent.

The Virginia poll asked, by my calculations, 121 African-Americans. The Pennsylvania poll surveyed 70 African-Americans. Very small sample sizes, obviously. Having said that, would a pro-McCain African-American be disproportionately more likely to talk to a pollster? Or is it possible some people are lying to pollsters about their race?