How the Gubernatorial Races Are Breaking

Republican have good chances in a few states, but, in others, much depends on late momentum and polling underestimations.

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From left to right: Kari Lake, Kevin Stitt, Lee Zeldin

Brian Snyder, Erin Scott/Reuters, Shealah Craighead/White House/via Wikimedia

There are 36 governorships at stake this November 8. In my most recent article in National Review magazine, I looked at the issue environment in those races, which feature 15 Republican incumbents, 13 Democratic incumbents, five open Republican-held governorships, and three open Democrat-held governorships. Yesterday, I looked at the polling in the 35 Senate races on the ballot this fall. Today, using the same methodology, I survey how things are going in the governors’ races.

A visible trend in these races underlines the national environment: There are seven races with no public polling at all, six of which are expected to hold Republican governorships in red states (five feature Republican incumbents):

Dan McLaughlin

About the Author

Dan McLaughlin

Dan McLaughlin is a senior writer at National Review Online and a fellow at National Review Institute.

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