Last week, Jack noted an analysis of how often NFL teams fumble that suggests the Patriots’ fumble rate was insanely, inexplicably low. I’m all for spitballing statistical analysis, but it’s a risky occupation: FiveThirtyEight rounds up a number of posts taking issue with the original analysis. I’m persuaded at least that the Pats’ numbers aren’t so exceptional as to justify an otherwise baseless argument (that they’ve been underinflating footballs for years so that they can hold onto the ball much more easily).