The Battleground poll on the generic ballot puts Republicans within four percent. (At RCP, it’s listed as 43-40, though.)

According to this chart, their last poll on that question in September of 2006 put it at 8 percent. The final numbers from other pollsters had it from 4 percent to 16 percent.

Some interesting recent polling results in some House races, too. These results don’t indicate, “hey, the Republican is definately going to win”, but they indicate that if this is a Democratic wave year, some districts with close races just aren’t showing it.

In New Hampshire, Rep. Carol Shea-Porter is up all of 2 percent on the man she beat last time, Jeb Bradley, and most polls put her considerably below 50 percent.

In Georgia, the thinking was that Rep. Jim Marshall, a Democrat in a deep red district who barely won last time, was pretty much out of the woods. The first poll in his district shows him up by 4 percent. He’ll probably sweat some on Election Night.

In Florida, Republican Vern Buchanan won his seat (Katherine Harris’ old seat) in 2006 by 369 votes out of about 238,000 cast. He’s up comfortably this cycle against the same rival.